By Chris Powell
Democrats should knock off the doom mongering in which many are wallowing.
Yes, in winning the presidency Republican Donald Trump made surprising gains among constituencies long allied with the Democrats, especially Blacks, Hispanics, and union members. But most members of those groups remain inclined toward the Democrats, and the defections resulted largely from dissatisfaction with the economy and illegal immigration. There is no guarantee that the economy will improve or illegal immigration be stopped during a Trump administration; those problems may actually worsen. Of course other problems will develop too.
Country decides that Democrats are even worse than Trump
Wethersfield quickly tires of flagpole propaganda
Case of illiterate Hartford girl should become a national scandal
National politics is full of abrupt and extreme changes in direction, some of them having occurred in living memory.
In 1964 President Lyndon B. Johnson, a Democrat, won 61% of the popular vote and carried 44 of 50 states. The Republican Party was thought to be finished. Four years later, in 1968, Johnson was so unpopular that he declined to seek re-election and a Republican, Richard Nixon, was elected to succeed him.
In 1972 Nixon led the Republicans to a sweeping victory, also winning 61% of the popular vote and carrying every state but Massachusetts. Just two years later Nixon resigned under threat of impeachment for corruption and the Democrats won big majorities in Congress.
So politics can turn around quickly, especially if a political party doesn’t keep insisting on being stupid and arrogant.
Democrats should knock off the hysteria about abortion rights, lately euphemized as “reproductive rights.”
Democrats contrived the abortion issue in the recent campaign because they needed a distraction from their national administration’s failures with the economy and illegal immigration.
But since two years ago the Supreme Court reversed its 1973 decision in Roe v. Wade and returned abortion policy to the states, last week’s election also included 10 state referendums on proposals to liberalize abortion law, and seven of them were approved. One of the three referendums that failed — Florida’s — got a 57% vote in favor, failing only because it was about a state constitutional amendment and Florida’s Constitution requires referendums on amendments to win a 60% majority.
Liberalization proposals already had passed in referendums in other states, undoing highly restrictive abortion laws.
With the trend of state law running plainly in favor of more abortion, not less, the Democratic hysteria on the issue is deliberately misleading. If people think their state’s abortion law is too strict, they can change it through the usual democratic procedures. In any case states that have outlawed or tightly restricted abortion have done so only because many of their women have wanted it that way. Democrats should try persuading them to change their minds.
Democratic campaign commercials that were recently broadcast in Connecticut claimed that if Trump was elected president and Republicans took Congress, they would outlaw abortion. The commercials were aimed at the Republican nominee in Connecticut’s 5th Congressional District, George Logan, who was defeated by a much greater margin than the margin he lost by two years ago. The commercials said Logan would outlaw abortion. They were lies.
Logan supports Connecticut’s liberal abortion law. Trump supports letting states make abortion law. There is no movement in Congress to outlaw abortion, and many Republicans in Congress are against outlawing it. It’s not going to happen.
When the General Assembly reconvenes in January the Republican minority should tweak the Democratic majority by proposing to withdraw the state from the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, which, if it ever took effect, would require the state to award its seven presidential electors to the winner of the national popular vote.
When Democratic state legislators put Connecticut into the compact in 2018, they thought it would work in favor of Democratic presidential candidates, since two recent Republican presidents, George W. Bush and Trump, had won the Electoral College without winning a majority of the national popular vote. Trump, supposedly the reincarnation of Hitler, did get a majority this time, vaporizing the partisan rationale for the compact here. But if Connecticut Democrats had their way, the state now would be helping to put Trump back in the White House. Whoops!
Chris Powell has written about Connecticut government and politics for many years. (CPowell@cox.net)
-END-